The Authority’ on Price Action Trading. In 2016, Nial won the Million Dollar Trader Competition. I hope you guys pay close attention to today’s article and refer back to it when you have any questions about how to trade or identify a trending market. I will probably forex trade in islam you to this article!
Many traders spend countless hours and dollars on trend-following trading systems or on indicators that just end up confusing them and making the process of trend discovery a lot more difficult than it needs to be. I have always been a strong proponent of visual observation of the raw price action of a market, as you probably know. I also believe that simply observing a market’s raw price action, from left to right, is the easiest and most effective way to identify a trend and to spot high-probability entries within it. However, just randomly jumping in with a trending market is not an edge or a strategy. As a market moves higher or lower, its previous turning points, or swing points as I like to call them, become reference points that we can use to help us determine the trend of a market. The most basic way to identify a trend is to check and see if a market is making a pattern of higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend, or lower highs and lower lows for a downtrend. Thus, general observation of a market’s swing points is the first point of call in determining if a market is trending.
If you do not see a pattern of HH HL or LH LL, but instead you see sideways price movement with no obvious general up or down direction to it, then you are probably looking at a range-bound market or one that is simply chopping back and forth. Tip: You shouldn’t have to think too hard about whether a market is trending or not. Most traders make trend discovery WAY too difficult. If you take a common sense and patient approach, it’s usually fairly obvious if a market is trending or not just by looking at the raw price action of its chart, from left to right.
Make sure you mark the swing points on your chart, as it will draw your attention to them and help you see if there’s a pattern of HH and HL or LH and LL, as discussed above. Characteristics of trending markets Trending markets tend to make strong moves in the direction of the trend followed by periods of consolidation or a counter-trend retrace before the next leg in the direction of the trend. You will notice this pattern happens in almost any trend you can find. In the diagram above, we can see that a trending market tends to move in spurts, moving in the direction of the trend and then stalling to take a breath before another leg in the direction of the trend. Now, these retraces are when we have the highest potential for a high probability entry within the trend. Often, a market will retrace to approximately the level of its previous swing point before the trend resumes.