Articles by Craig Erlam

The most active pairing in the Euro is definitely the EURGBP. Brexit, ECB and BoE are all in the mix. Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst for Oanda discusses the technical layout of the currency and suggests that the Euro was overstretched leading in to the ECB meeting. However this is what was expected by the […]

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British manufacturers reported robust growth last month and rising inflation pressures, adding to the chances that the Bank of England will raise interest rates on Thursday for the first time in a decade.The IHS Markit/CIPS manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 56.3 in October from an upwardly revised 56.0 in September. This was above […]

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US Earnings Key on Tuesday A rare negative session on Monday in US equity markets could be quickly reversed on Tuesday, with futures pointing to a more positive open on Wall Street. While there is always the potential for market pullbacks or even corrections, I don’t think we can read too much into Monday’s declines, […]

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A relatively quiet week in financial markets with economic releases being few and far between, the political scene being less of a circus (relatively speaking), geopolitical tensions becoming a little more subdued and central bankers very much sticking to the agreed lines. While I doubt this will become the new norm, the week ahead may […]

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Oanda Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam says gold is likely to stabilise and a sell-off to $1200 seems unlikely in the short-run, unless the ongoing dead cat bounce in the USD translates into a full fledged dollar rally. Gold Gains Limited as ADP Nonfarm Payrolls Beats Expectations Yellen and Draghi Headline Busy Schedule GBP/USD – […]

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Oanda Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam says the GBP/USD is likely to consolidate in the range of 1.32-1.36. A drop to 1.30 is unlikely unless the BoE ditches the hawkish stance, while a break above 1.36 seems too much as one rate hike (BoE does not change the big picture (UK Brexit uncertainty, yield differential […]

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Oanda Senior Market Analyst details the fundamental and technical rationale behind his cautiously bullish view on the EUR/JPY cross. Gold Gains Limited as ADP Nonfarm Payrolls Beats Expectations Yellen and Draghi Headline Busy Schedule GBP/USD – Pound Edges Higher as Services PMI Meets Expectations

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Will Yellen and Draghi Offer Insight into Rate Hikes and Tapering? After kicking off the week with two record closes, US indices are currently seen opening marginally lower on Wednesday as we prepare for speeches from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and ECB President Mario Draghi. While the two central banks are in very different […]

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Theresa May has defended free market capitalism in a speech marking 20 years since the Bank of England was given the right to set interest rates. Mrs May said the British people should never forget the value of a free market economy. She also restated her determination to be tough on public spending despite political […]

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Will Other Fed Officials Agree With Yellen? US futures are pointing to a higher open on Wednesday as we await more data and appearances from some key Federal Reserve officials. The dollar rose to its highest level in a month on Wednesday after Fed Chair Janet Yellen claimed it would be imprudent to leave rate […]

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